Predictions, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Statistics for Pitt vs. Notre Dame in the ACC Tournament

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Predictions, Expert Picks, Betting Trends, and Statistics for Pitt vs. Notre Dame in the ACC Tournament

The upcoming ACC Tournament matchup between the Pittsburgh Panthers and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish is set for March 11, 2025, at the Spectrum Center. This first-round game features the No. 13 seed Pittsburgh (17-14, 8-12 ACC) facing the No. 12 seed Notre Dame (14-17, 9-11 ACC).

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Betting Odds and Lines

As of the latest updates, Pittsburgh is favored by 4.5 points over Notre Dame. The total points over/under is set at 137.5. The moneyline odds list Pittsburgh at -182 and Notre Dame at +150.

Tony’s Picks

Team Performance and Statistics

Pittsburgh Panthers:

  • Recent Performance: The Panthers have struggled recently, posting a 1-4 record in their last five games, with their sole victory against Boston College (93-67).

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  • Offensive Efficiency: Pittsburgh ranks 38th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, averaging 117.1 points per 100 possessions.

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  • Free Throw Shooting: The Panthers excel at the free-throw line, ranking 21st nationally with a 78.0% free throw percentage.

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish:

  • Recent Performance: The Fighting Irish have shown improvement, winning their last two games and covering the spread in three of their last five outings.

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  • Rebounding: Notre Dame ranks 78th nationally in rebound rate at 52.1%, which could be a significant factor against Pittsburgh’s 205th-ranked 49.7% rebound rate.

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  • Head-to-Head: Notre Dame defeated Pittsburgh 76-72 at home on February 22, 2025, covering the spread as underdogs.

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Expert Picks and Predictions

  • Against the Spread (ATS): Notre Dame has been effective against Pittsburgh in recent matchups, going 8-2 in their last 10 meetings and 5-2 ATS in their last seven. Given Pittsburgh’s recent struggles and Notre Dame’s positive momentum, experts lean towards Notre Dame covering the +4.5 spread.

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  • Total Points (Over/Under): Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with Pittsburgh’s high offensive efficiency and Notre Dame’s solid shooting. Their previous meeting totaled 148 points. Experts suggest taking the over on the 137.5 total, anticipating a high-scoring game.

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Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh: The Panthers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games, indicating difficulties in covering the spread recently.

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  • Notre Dame: The Fighting Irish are 3-2 ATS in their last five games, showing a positive trend in covering spreads.

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Considering recent performances, statistical matchups, and betting trends, Notre Dame appears to have an edge in this ACC Tournament first-round game. Their recent victories, effective rebounding, and success against Pittsburgh suggest they could cover the +4.5 spread and potentially win outright. Additionally, the offensive strengths of both teams point towards a game that could exceed the 137.5 total points line.

For a more in-depth analysis and discussion on this matchup, you might find the following video insightful:

 

 

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